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Decoupling, recoupling and the future growth of road freight
Between 1997 and 2004, the GDP and freight tonne-km growth trends in the UK decoupled after a long period of tight coupling. Over the period 2005-2007 the trends temporarily ‘recoupled’. This paper examines why this might have happened and asks how long a coupling or decoupling trend should be observed before it is deemed to be the result of a structural trend in the economy. It also compares the changing relationship between GDP and tonne-kms in the UK with that of other EU countries.
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